Commercial Real Estate: The Only Stable Factor of the Market?
Author: reagent // Category: Real Estate NewsWhen it comes to real estate, the housing market burst in 2007, went down, and has stayed at a low level for about two years. While this varies in some parts of the country – real estate in New York seems to be picking up – the next shoe to drop is considered the commercial real estate market. Or, will it? In some parts of the country, the demand for commercial real estate is increasing, while in others, such as Las Vegas, the demand is still low. When it comes to inflation, commercial real estate is considered a stable point amidst the storm.
According to the article linked above, commercial properties protect against real estate, their value keeping overall amounts from dropping lower. The author, in fact, describes them, as a “hedge against inflation” and they also help set the pace against inflation. In fact, those creating a varied investment portfolio are advised to add commercial real estate because of its stability. As far as the real estate itself is concerned, the ability for a property owner to adjust rents over time correlates to economic growth.
Unfortunately, this latter aspect is where the commercial real estate market – and in economy in general – is lacking. The state of the economy, including a lack of jobs and a stagnant homebuyers market, has put pressure for rents to lower to keep up the pace of inflation – or, more appropriately, deflation. Rent, in general, has declined over the past 18 months at a rate quicker than the typical inflation index.
Nevertheless, the author predicts that rent on commercial real estate should outpace inflation over the next few years, as the demand for “goods” will increase the pressure for inflation. The lack of job opportunities, however, means that the consumer has little buying power, and this factor keeps the homebuyers market stagnant. Do you think that the market will improve once job opportunities increase, or will it increase on its own?