Decline in Home Prices May Signal End of Real Estate Recovery
Author: reagent // Category: Foreclosures, Real Estate NewsIt’s a cliché to think of success as one step forward and two steps backward, but this overly-used saying simply describes the current state of the real estate market. Although homes are for sale in all metropolitan areas, the average home price has decreased, according to a piece in The Wall Street Journal. While minor declines have been seen over the past year, the 1.3-percent decrease from October to September is cause for concern and contradicts with the recovery of retail and manufacturing industries.
Earlier this year, the housing market appeared to be in a state of recovery: the average home price had increased slightly – but not too much – while sales were up. But the WSJ isn’t the harbinger of bad news; such a drop was predicted over the summer. And, while this news applies mainly to homeowners, what about commercial real estate’s notable recovery?
The points contributing to this decline, as expressed in the WSJ piece, include:
• The job market correlates with housing. When job growth is slow (unemployment is currently 9.8 percent), housing is too risky of an investment.
• The tax credit for first-time homebuyers expired and, as of April, the amount of sales dropped, taking this figure back to early 2010 numbers.
• 20 metropolitan areas saw declines, with prices in Las Vegas and Cleveland dipping so low they’re back to 2000 levels. Las Vegas real estate, as we discussed months earlier, has a high percentage of foreclosures, which influence the average price.
• As seen in Las Vegas, foreclosures still make up a significant amount of home sales – about 30 percent – and, as foreclosures and short sales go for less than average, they bring the price down.
• Mortgage rates are rising, and current homeowners are stuck with underwater mortgages. This leads homeowners to wonder, “Why sell my property for less than when I purchased it?”